Gulf Cup Group Stages Round 3

Qatar vs UAE analysis

Qatar UAE
84 ELO 77
0.4% Tilt -2.4%
ELO win probability
64%
Qatar
20.5%
Draw
15.5%
UAE

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
Qatar
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.5%
Win probability
UAE
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Qatar
-2%
-2%
UAE

ELO progression

Qatar
UAE
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Qatar
Qatar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2023
QAT
Qatar
1 - 2
Bahrain
BHR
66%
20%
14%
84 77 7 0
07 Jan. 2023
KWT
Kuwait
0 - 2
Qatar
QAT
17%
22%
62%
84 68 16 0
29 Nov. 2022
NED
Netherlands
2 - 0
Qatar
QAT
86%
10%
4%
84 93 9 0
25 Nov. 2022
QAT
Qatar
1 - 3
Senegal
SEN
49%
25%
27%
84 84 0 0
20 Nov. 2022
QAT
Qatar
0 - 2
Ecuador
ECU
32%
25%
43%
85 88 3 -1

Matches

UAE
UAE
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jan. 2023
UAE
UAE
0 - 1
Kuwait
KWT
70%
18%
12%
78 68 10 0
07 Jan. 2023
BHR
Bahrain
2 - 1
UAE
UAE
45%
25%
30%
78 76 2 0
30 Dec. 2022
UAE
UAE
1 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
75%
17%
9%
78 65 13 0
19 Nov. 2022
UAE
UAE
2 - 1
Kazakhstan
KAZ
73%
17%
10%
78 63 15 0
16 Nov. 2022
UAE
UAE
0 - 5
Argentina
ARG
7%
18%
75%
78 95 17 0