Portugal vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.8%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
PRT
1 - 0
ARG
33%
25%
42%
|
92 | 95 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
PRT
1 - 0
ARM
86%
11%
3%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
DNK
0 - 1
PRT
34%
25%
41%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
FRA
2 - 1
PRT
48%
25%
26%
|
92 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PRT
0 - 1
ALB
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
GRC
0 - 2
SRB
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
SRB
1 - 3
DNK
32%
26%
43%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
SRB
0 - 3
ALB
70%
20%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ARM
1 - 1
SRB
34%
28%
38%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SRB
1 - 1
FRA
18%
24%
58%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |