Portugal vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1989 |
BRA
4 - 0
PRT
81%
14%
6%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
PRT
3 - 1
CHE
59%
25%
16%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
PRT
6 - 0
AGO
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1989 |
PRT
1 - 1
BEL
47%
29%
24%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1989 |
GRC
1 - 2
PRT
42%
28%
30%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1989 |
ROU
1 - 0
BGR
61%
23%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
GRC
0 - 0
ROU
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1989 |
POL
2 - 1
ROU
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1989 |
ROU
1 - 0
ITA
38%
30%
33%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1988 |
ROU
3 - 0
ISR
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |