Portugal vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1968 |
GRC
4 - 2
PRT
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1968 |
PRT
3 - 0
ROU
58%
22%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1968 |
PRT
0 - 2
BRA
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1967 |
PRT
0 - 0
BGR
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1967 |
BGR
1 - 0
PRT
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1969 |
MEX
1 - 0
COL
77%
14%
9%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
3 - 0
DNK
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
1 - 1
ITA
35%
26%
39%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1969 |
MEX
2 - 3
ITA
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1968 |
MEX
0 - 0
DEU
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |