Portugal vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.1%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
PRT
4%
14%
83%
|
93 | 24 | 69 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BIH
0 - 5
PRT
9%
19%
72%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
PRT
3 - 2
SVK
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
PRT
9 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
93 | 60 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SVK
0 - 1
PRT
12%
20%
68%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SVK
4 - 2
ISL
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ISL
4 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
2%
|
75 | 24 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 1
LUX
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 0
BIH
37%
26%
37%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LUX
3 - 1
ISL
19%
22%
59%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |