Portugal vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.8%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.5%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.5%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.9%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
2.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
LIE
0 - 2
POR
3%
13%
84%
|
93 | 27 | 66 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BIH
0 - 5
POR
10%
19%
71%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
SVK
83%
12%
5%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
POR
9 - 0
LUX
90%
8%
2%
|
93 | 63 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SVK
0 - 1
POR
11%
20%
69%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
SVK
4 - 2
ISL
58%
23%
19%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ISL
4 - 0
LIE
87%
11%
2%
|
76 | 27 | 49 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 1
LUX
68%
20%
13%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
ISL
1 - 0
BIH
35%
26%
38%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LUX
3 - 1
ISL
19%
22%
59%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |