Portugal vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1928 |
FRA
1 - 1
POR
42%
23%
35%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1928 |
POR
4 - 1
ITA
51%
22%
27%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1928 |
POR
0 - 0
ARG
45%
24%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1928 |
POR
2 - 2
ESP
45%
24%
31%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1927 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 1927 |
CHI
2 - 3
URU
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1926 |
CHI
5 - 1
PAR
41%
24%
34%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +2 |
| 31 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
50%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1926 |
CHI
1 - 3
URU
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 81 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1924 |
PAR
3 - 1
CHI
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +2 |