Poland vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
ENG
2 - 1
POL
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
POL
3 - 0
AND
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 35 | 53 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
HUN
3 - 3
POL
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
POL
1 - 2
NLD
24%
23%
54%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
ITA
2 - 0
POL
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2021 |
SVK
2 - 1
RUS
29%
25%
47%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
RUS
2 - 1
SVN
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
MLT
1 - 3
RUS
9%
20%
71%
|
87 | 46 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
SRB
5 - 0
RUS
32%
24%
44%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
TUR
3 - 2
RUS
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |