Poland vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19.3%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
23.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
NOR
3 - 1
POL
53%
19%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1939 |
POL
4 - 2
HUN
40%
21%
39%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
POL
1 - 1
SUI
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
POL
3 - 3
BEL
71%
15%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1939 |
FRA
4 - 0
POL
51%
20%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1947 |
BGR
2 - 3
ROU
52%
20%
28%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1947 |
ROU
1 - 3
YUG
56%
19%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1947 |
ALB
0 - 4
ROU
57%
18%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
ALB
1 - 0
ROU
59%
19%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1946 |
ROU
2 - 1
YUG
56%
20%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |