Poland vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
12.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
DDR
2 - 0
POL
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1966 |
POL
0 - 1
ENG
21%
21%
59%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1966 |
ARG
1 - 1
POL
77%
14%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
2 - 1
POL
84%
11%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1966 |
BRA
4 - 1
POL
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1965 |
FRA
4 - 1
LUX
78%
13%
10%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
LUX
2 - 5
YUG
29%
23%
48%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1965 |
NOR
4 - 2
LUX
66%
16%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
LUX
0 - 2
NOR
58%
18%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
LUX
0 - 2
FRA
37%
21%
42%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |