Poland vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 1924 |
POL
2 - 0
TUR
46%
23%
31%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1924 |
POL
2 - 3
USA
47%
23%
29%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1924 |
HUN
5 - 0
POL
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 May. 1924 |
SWE
5 - 1
POL
60%
20%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1923 |
POL
2 - 2
SWE
55%
22%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 1924 |
FIN
5 - 7
SWE
46%
23%
32%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1924 |
FIN
2 - 4
TUR
52%
22%
27%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1923 |
EST
2 - 1
FIN
54%
22%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1923 |
FIN
5 - 3
POL
55%
21%
24%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 1923 |
HUN
3 - 1
FIN
77%
13%
10%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |