Poland vs Spain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
56.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1999 |
POL
5 - 4
NZL
71%
19%
10%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
LUX
2 - 3
POL
10%
18%
72%
|
89 | 40 | 49 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
POL
2 - 0
BGR
50%
26%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
POL
2 - 1
CZE
56%
23%
21%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
POL
0 - 1
SWE
27%
28%
45%
|
88 | 94 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
ESP
9 - 0
SMR
96%
4%
1%
|
97 | 48 | 49 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 1
HRV
87%
9%
4%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
SMR
0 - 6
ESP
3%
14%
83%
|
97 | 48 | 49 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
ESP
9 - 0
AUT
70%
18%
12%
|
97 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
ITA
2 - 2
ESP
48%
26%
26%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |