Peru vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.5%
64.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Peru
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
PER
2 - 1
VEN
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
CRI
0 - 1
PER
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
URY
4 - 2
PER
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
PER
0 - 1
COL
31%
29%
40%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
PER
1 - 0
NGA
47%
27%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ARG
3 - 1
PRY
77%
15%
8%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
DEU
1 - 3
ARG
57%
22%
21%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
ARG
4 - 3
BRA
37%
25%
38%
|
96 | 98 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ARG
4 - 0
ECU
76%
16%
8%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 3
ARG
24%
26%
50%
|
97 | 91 | 6 | -1 |