Paraguay vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ECU
0 - 0
PAR
66%
21%
14%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
9%
18%
73%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
URU
0 - 0
PAR
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
CRC
2 - 1
PAR
42%
27%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 4
BRA
6%
14%
80%
|
84 | 96 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
ARG
15%
22%
63%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2024 |
VEN
0 - 0
URU
25%
25%
50%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 0
VEN
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
VEN
1 - 1
CAN
52%
23%
25%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
JAM
0 - 3
VEN
25%
25%
51%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |