Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
22.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1951 |
PAN
6 - 2
PRY
51%
19%
31%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1951 |
CRI
4 - 1
PRY
73%
14%
13%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1951 |
PAN
4 - 0
PRY
47%
19%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1951 |
CRI
8 - 1
PRY
70%
15%
15%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1950 |
ITA
2 - 0
PRY
80%
12%
8%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 1952 |
EGY
5 - 4
CHL
55%
20%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1952 |
CHL
0 - 3
BRA
38%
21%
40%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
CHL
2 - 0
URY
45%
21%
34%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1952 |
CHL
3 - 2
PER
48%
20%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1952 |
CHL
4 - 0
MEX
49%
21%
30%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |