Paraguay vs Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
12.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1924 |
URY
3 - 1
PRY
71%
17%
13%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1924 |
ARG
0 - 0
PRY
63%
20%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1923 |
BRA
2 - 0
PRY
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1923 |
BRA
0 - 1
PRY
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1923 |
URY
2 - 0
PRY
66%
18%
16%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1924 |
ARG
2 - 0
CHL
73%
16%
11%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1924 |
URY
5 - 0
CHL
79%
13%
8%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1924 |
CHL
0 - 1
URY
24%
22%
54%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1923 |
ARG
6 - 0
CHL
72%
17%
12%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1923 |
URY
2 - 1
CHL
78%
13%
8%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |