Paraguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
60%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
PRY
4 - 0
BOL
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
DEU
3 - 3
PRY
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
PRY
1 - 2
CHL
41%
27%
32%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
ECU
4 - 1
PRY
56%
23%
21%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
URY
1 - 1
PRY
60%
22%
18%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 2
ARG
33%
27%
40%
|
96 | 94 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
GTM
0 - 4
ARG
7%
18%
74%
|
96 | 73 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
ECU
1 - 1
ARG
26%
25%
49%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ARG
0 - 0
COL
74%
17%
9%
|
96 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARG
11%
21%
68%
|
96 | 81 | 15 | 0 |