Paraguay vs Argentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
50.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paraguay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
PRY
1 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
KOR
1 - 0
PRY
45%
29%
27%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
BRA
2 - 1
PRY
80%
14%
6%
|
91 | 100 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
PRY
0 - 2
CHL
53%
26%
22%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
ECU
1 - 1
PRY
42%
28%
30%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Argentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 3
BRA
32%
26%
42%
|
98 | 100 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
RUS
2 - 3
ARG
30%
27%
43%
|
98 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
ECU
2 - 0
ARG
20%
25%
56%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
70%
20%
10%
|
98 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
ARG
3 - 1
PAN
80%
15%
5%
|
98 | 78 | 20 | 0 |