Pakistan vs Sri Lanka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
TWN
1 - 2
PAK
47%
24%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2008 |
NPL
0 - 2
PAK
76%
16%
9%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
NPL
2 - 1
PAK
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
IRQ
0 - 0
PAK
85%
12%
3%
|
39 | 83 | 44 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2007 |
PAK
0 - 7
IRQ
9%
18%
73%
|
40 | 83 | 43 | -1 |
Matches
Sri Lanka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
GUM
1 - 5
LKA
25%
24%
52%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
QAT
5 - 0
LKA
85%
12%
3%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
LKA
0 - 1
QAT
11%
21%
68%
|
42 | 79 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2007 |
LKA
2 - 1
MYS
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
LKA
1 - 4
MYS
26%
25%
49%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | -1 |