New Zealand vs Tahiti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Zealand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
NZL
2 - 4
VUT
89%
9%
2%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
NZL
3 - 0
SLB
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
AUS
1 - 0
NZL
76%
16%
8%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
IRN
3 - 0
NZL
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2003 |
FRA
5 - 0
NZL
96%
4%
0%
|
71 | 99 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2004 |
PYF
0 - 4
SLB
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2004 |
AUS
9 - 0
PYF
87%
11%
3%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
PYF
0 - 0
FJI
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 1
PYF
36%
24%
40%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
PYF
2 - 0
TON
88%
10%
3%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |