OFC Nations Cup Group A Round 2

New Zealand vs Solomon Islands analysis

New Zealand Solomon Islands
69 ELO 51
-13.3% Tilt -5.8%
1390º General ELO ranking 22344º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
70.5%
New Zealand
18.9%
Draw
10.6%
Solomon Islands

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
New Zealand
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.6%
Win probability
Solomon Islands
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
New Zealand
+14%
-13%
Solomon Islands

ELO progression

New Zealand
Solomon Islands
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

New Zealand
New Zealand
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2024
NZL
New Zealand
0 - 0
Tunisia
TUN
18%
26%
56%
68 84 16 0
22 Mar. 2024
EGY
Egypt
1 - 0
New Zealand
NZL
76%
16%
8%
68 86 18 0
21 Nov. 2023
IRL
Ireland
1 - 1
New Zealand
NZL
66%
21%
13%
68 85 17 0
17 Nov. 2023
GRC
Greece
2 - 0
New Zealand
NZL
69%
20%
11%
69 85 16 -1
17 Oct. 2023
AUS
Australia
2 - 0
New Zealand
NZL
80%
14%
6%
69 88 19 0

Matches

Solomon Islands
Solomon Islands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Jun. 2024
SOL
Solomon Islands
0 - 1
Vanuatu
VAN
59%
22%
19%
52 45 7 0
21 Mar. 2024
SOL
Solomon Islands
0 - 2
Fiji Islands
FIJ
53%
23%
24%
53 50 3 -1
18 Mar. 2024
SOL
Solomon Islands
2 - 1
Fiji Islands
FIJ
50%
24%
26%
52 50 2 +1
14 Oct. 2023
SOL
Solomon Islands
1 - 0
New Caledonia
NCL
31%
23%
46%
52 54 2 0
11 Oct. 2023
SOL
Solomon Islands
1 - 0
Vanuatu
VAN
52%
23%
25%
51 47 4 +1