Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 3
ESP
21%
25%
55%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
ESP
2 - 1
NOR
73%
18%
10%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
NOR
1 - 0
LUX
81%
14%
5%
|
92 | 38 | 54 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
NOR
0 - 1
PRT
34%
27%
39%
|
92 | 96 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
BIH
1 - 0
NOR
15%
23%
62%
|
92 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2003 |
EGY
1 - 0
SWE
29%
27%
45%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
SWE
0 - 1
LVA
83%
13%
5%
|
94 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
POL
0 - 2
SWE
33%
28%
40%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SWE
5 - 0
SMR
94%
5%
1%
|
94 | 43 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
SWE
1 - 2
GRC
68%
20%
12%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |