Norway vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
62.2%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1977 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
66%
18%
16%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
ISL
2 - 1
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
NOR
0 - 2
DNK
34%
24%
43%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1977 |
SWE
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
NOR
3 - 2
SWE
17%
22%
61%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1977 |
SWE
0 - 1
DDR
47%
26%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1977 |
ISL
0 - 1
SWE
21%
24%
56%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1977 |
DNK
2 - 1
SWE
36%
27%
37%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
SWE
2 - 1
CHE
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1977 |
SWE
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 58 | 28 | 0 |