Norway vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.6%
4.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2025 |
NOR
1 - 0
FIN
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
EST
0 - 1
NOR
10%
18%
72%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
NOR
3 - 0
ITA
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
ISR
2 - 4
NOR
29%
23%
48%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MDA
0 - 5
NOR
8%
18%
74%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2025 |
MDA
0 - 4
ISR
9%
16%
76%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
ITA
2 - 0
MDA
82%
13%
4%
|
54 | 92 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2025 |
POL
2 - 0
MDA
86%
11%
3%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2025 |
MDA
2 - 3
EST
34%
25%
40%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
MDA
0 - 5
NOR
8%
18%
74%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | -1 |