WC Qual. Europe Round 4

Norway vs Netherlands analysis

Norway Netherlands
91 ELO 98
-7.2% Tilt 6.3%
172º General ELO ranking 42º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
19.8%
Norway
24.3%
Draw
55.9%
Netherlands

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
Norway
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.9%
Win probability
Netherlands
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Norway
+12%
+2%
Netherlands

ELO progression

Norway
Netherlands
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Norway
Norway
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2008
SCO
Scotland
0 - 0
Norway
NOR
39%
27%
34%
91 90 1 0
06 Sep. 2008
NOR
Norway
2 - 2
Iceland
ISL
71%
19%
10%
91 81 10 0
20 Aug. 2008
NOR
Norway
1 - 1
Ireland
IRL
38%
28%
34%
91 93 2 0
28 May. 2008
NOR
Norway
2 - 2
Uruguay
URU
44%
27%
29%
91 92 1 0
26 Mar. 2008
MNE
Montenegro
3 - 1
Norway
NOR
10%
19%
72%
91 66 25 0

Matches

Netherlands
Netherlands
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Oct. 2008
NED
Netherlands
2 - 0
Iceland
ISL
80%
15%
5%
98 81 17 0
10 Sep. 2008
MKD
Macedonia
1 - 2
Netherlands
NED
9%
20%
71%
98 81 17 0
06 Sep. 2008
NED
Netherlands
1 - 2
Australia
AUS
74%
18%
8%
98 90 8 0
20 Aug. 2008
RUS
Russia
1 - 1
Netherlands
NED
20%
25%
55%
98 92 6 0
21 Jun. 2008
NED
Netherlands
1 - 3
Russia
RUS
80%
14%
6%
98 92 6 0