Nigeria vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1994 |
ROU
2 - 0
NGA
72%
19%
9%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1994 |
SWE
3 - 1
NGA
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1994 |
COL
1 - 0
NGA
67%
23%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1994 |
NGA
2 - 1
ZMB
52%
27%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1994 |
NGA
2 - 2
CIV
52%
27%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1994 |
ISR
2 - 0
GEO
77%
14%
9%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1994 |
TUN
0 - 2
GEO
66%
20%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Feb. 1994 |
MLT
0 - 1
GEO
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1994 |
SVN
1 - 0
GEO
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 1992 |
CYP
1 - 0
GEO
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |