Nepal vs Pakistan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
NPL
0 - 2
IND
9%
19%
72%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
KWT
3 - 1
NPL
89%
9%
3%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
PHL
1 - 0
NPL
65%
20%
16%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
NPL
2 - 1
LAO
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
NPL
1 - 1
BTN
59%
21%
21%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pakistan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 4
KWT
5%
17%
78%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2023 |
IND
4 - 0
PAK
86%
11%
3%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
DJI
3 - 1
PAK
47%
21%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
PAK
0 - 1
KEN
13%
22%
65%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MUS
3 - 0
PAK
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |