Nepal vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
24.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1982 |
NPL
1 - 1
BGD
69%
16%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
OMA
1 - 0
NPL
58%
20%
22%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
PAK
2 - 0
NPL
70%
16%
14%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1982 |
IRN
4 - 0
NPL
87%
10%
4%
|
45 | 80 | 35 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1981 |
NPL
1 - 4
TUN
30%
24%
47%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1981 |
PHL
0 - 2
IDN
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1981 |
PHL
0 - 4
SGP
43%
24%
34%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
IDN
1 - 1
PHL
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1977 |
MAS
5 - 0
PHL
77%
13%
10%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
PHL
4 - 1
BRN
66%
18%
16%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +2 |