Mozambique vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.1%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
30.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mozambique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
SEN
14%
25%
62%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SEN
5 - 1
MOZ
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
MAD
3 - 1
MOZ
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 1
ALG
7%
18%
75%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2023 |
MOZ
3 - 2
LBY
33%
29%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
MWI
0 - 4
EGY
10%
23%
67%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
EGY
2 - 0
MWI
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
BGD
1 - 1
MWI
10%
23%
67%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MWI
1 - 1
LSO
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MOZ
0 - 0
MWI
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |