Montenegro vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montenegro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
MNE
2 - 0
NIR
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
NOR
2 - 1
MNE
88%
9%
3%
|
70 | 90 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2010 |
MNE
0 - 1
ALB
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
MKD
2 - 1
MNE
69%
18%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
MNE
1 - 0
BLR
33%
25%
42%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2010 |
WLS
5 - 1
LUX
82%
14%
5%
|
86 | 36 | 50 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2010 |
HRV
2 - 0
WLS
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
WLS
0 - 1
SWE
31%
29%
41%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
WLS
3 - 0
SCT
39%
29%
33%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 2
WLS
9%
21%
70%
|
87 | 24 | 63 | 0 |