Moldova vs Russia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.4%
1-0
4%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
73.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
16.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
SWE
1 - 0
MDA
85%
12%
4%
|
53 | 89 | 36 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MDA
1 - 2
ISL
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
2 - 1
MDA
89%
9%
2%
|
54 | 95 | 41 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
MDA
0 - 4
ALB
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 74 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
AND
1 - 0
MDA
21%
25%
55%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Russia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
SMR
0 - 5
RUS
12%
19%
69%
|
89 | 19 | 70 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
RUS
1 - 4
BEL
27%
25%
49%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CYP
0 - 5
RUS
14%
23%
63%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
RUS
4 - 0
SCT
61%
22%
17%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
RUS
1 - 0
KAZ
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |