Mexico vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
MEX
4 - 1
CIV
56%
24%
21%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
PAN
2 - 1
MEX
13%
21%
66%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MEX
1 - 0
TTO
81%
13%
5%
|
92 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2013 |
MTQ
1 - 3
MEX
5%
15%
81%
|
92 | 60 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2013 |
MEX
2 - 0
CAN
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
HND
1 - 3
USA
23%
25%
52%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2013 |
HND
1 - 0
CRI
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
HND
0 - 2
TTO
67%
19%
14%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HND
1 - 0
SLV
70%
18%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
HTI
0 - 2
HND
16%
22%
63%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |