Mexico vs Costa Rica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
17.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 2
ECU
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
CHL
3 - 3
MEX
50%
23%
27%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MEX
0 - 0
BOL
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
BRA
2 - 0
MEX
76%
16%
8%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
PER
1 - 1
MEX
24%
26%
50%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Costa Rica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2015 |
ESP
2 - 1
CRI
79%
15%
6%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
COL
1 - 0
CRI
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2015 |
PAN
2 - 1
CRI
33%
26%
40%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
CRI
0 - 0
PRY
48%
25%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
URY
3 - 3
CRI
65%
20%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |