CAF Grupo E. Jor. 3

Mauritania vs Tunisia analysis

Mauritania Tunisia
59 ELO 81
-8.2% Tilt -11.4%
1690º General ELO ranking 216º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15%
Mauritania
23.1%
Draw
61.9%
Tunisia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
Mauritania
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
61.9%
Win probability
Tunisia
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mauritania
+13%
-1%
Tunisia

ELO progression

Mauritania
Tunisia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mauritania
Mauritania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jun. 2019
MRT
Mauritania
0 - 0
Angola
AGO
27%
27%
45%
58 70 12 0
24 Jun. 2019
MLI
Mali
4 - 1
Mauritania
MRT
67%
20%
13%
59 74 15 -1
18 Jun. 2019
BEN
Benin
3 - 1
Mauritania
MRT
52%
24%
24%
60 63 3 -1
14 Jun. 2019
MRT
Mauritania
3 - 1
Madagascar
MDG
43%
26%
31%
59 58 1 +1
26 Mar. 2019
GHA
Ghana
3 - 1
Mauritania
MRT
76%
16%
7%
59 81 22 0

Matches

Tunisia
Tunisia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Jun. 2019
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 1
Mali
MLI
55%
24%
21%
81 74 7 0
24 Jun. 2019
TUN
Tunisia
1 - 1
Angola
AGO
65%
21%
14%
81 69 12 0
17 Jun. 2019
TUN
Tunisia
2 - 1
Burundi
BDI
78%
17%
6%
81 58 23 0
11 Jun. 2019
HRV
Croatia
1 - 2
Tunisia
TUN
78%
15%
7%
81 90 9 0
07 Jun. 2019
TUN
Tunisia
2 - 0
Iraq
IRQ
50%
26%
24%
80 78 2 +1
X