Mauritania vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
70%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MTN
2 - 3
ANG
32%
27%
41%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
BFA
1 - 0
MTN
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 0
MTN
77%
16%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
SSD
0 - 0
MTN
12%
19%
69%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
COD
2 - 0
MTN
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 2
BFA
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
1 - 1
ANG
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 4
ALG
10%
21%
69%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 3
ALG
14%
23%
63%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MOZ
0 - 2
ALG
11%
23%
66%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |