African Nations Championship Group C Round 1

Morocco vs Sudan analysis

Morocco Sudan
89 ELO 62
-3.1% Tilt -10.7%
109º General ELO ranking 2170º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
87.2%
Morocco
10.2%
Draw
2.6%
Sudan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
Morocco
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
18.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.2%
2.6%
Win probability
Sudan
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Morocco
Sudan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Morocco
Morocco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Dec. 2022
CRO
Croatia
2 - 1
Morocco
MAR
51%
24%
25%
90 90 0 0
14 Dec. 2022
FRA
France
2 - 0
Morocco
MAR
71%
18%
11%
90 94 4 0
10 Dec. 2022
MAR
Morocco
1 - 0
Portugal
POR
24%
24%
52%
89 93 4 +1
06 Dec. 2022
MAR
Morocco
0 - 0
Spain
ESP
17%
21%
63%
89 94 5 0
01 Dec. 2022
CAN
Canada
1 - 2
Morocco
MAR
24%
25%
52%
89 83 6 0

Matches

Sudan
Sudan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Jan. 2023
CMR
Cameroon
2 - 0
Sudan
SDN
74%
19%
7%
59 82 23 0
19 Nov. 2022
SDN
Sudan
0 - 1
Rwanda
RWA
49%
25%
26%
60 60 0 -1
17 Nov. 2022
RWA
Rwanda
0 - 0
Sudan
SDN
42%
28%
31%
60 60 0 0
26 Sep. 2022
ETH
Ethiopia
2 - 2
Sudan
SDN
58%
23%
19%
60 64 4 0
23 Sep. 2022
ETH
Ethiopia
1 - 1
Sudan
SDN
59%
23%
18%
60 64 4 0