Malta vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
58.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
FRO
3 - 2
MLT
54%
21%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2004 |
GER
7 - 0
MLT
88%
9%
3%
|
60 | 95 | 35 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2004 |
MLT
1 - 2
FIN
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 85 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2004 |
MLT
5 - 2
EST
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
MLT
0 - 0
MDA
29%
24%
48%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
SWE
2 - 2
NED
33%
26%
41%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2004 |
SWE
0 - 0
NED
19%
21%
60%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2004 |
DEN
2 - 2
SWE
49%
24%
28%
|
94 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 1
SWE
64%
21%
15%
|
94 | 98 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2004 |
SWE
5 - 0
BGR
67%
19%
14%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | +1 |