Malta vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
POL
2 - 0
MLT
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
MLT
0 - 1
FIN
12%
20%
69%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
MLT
0 - 0
AND
77%
15%
8%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2024 |
MLT
2 - 0
LIE
78%
14%
7%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
MLT
1 - 0
MDA
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2025 |
LTU
2 - 2
FIN
12%
20%
67%
|
53 | 79 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
POL
1 - 0
LTU
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 87 | 33 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
XXK
1 - 0
LTU
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
CYP
2 - 1
LTU
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
LTU
1 - 2
ROU
11%
19%
70%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |