Macedonia vs Latvia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
14.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
SRB
5 - 1
MKD
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
WAL
1 - 0
MKD
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
MKD
1 - 2
SCO
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 1
WAL
34%
27%
39%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 0
BGR
25%
26%
49%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
IRL
3 - 0
LVA
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
LVA
2 - 2
SVK
25%
27%
48%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 0
LVA
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
GRC
1 - 0
LVA
77%
16%
6%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
LVA
2 - 1
LTU
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |