AFC Challenge Cup . Jor. 3

Macao vs Kyrgyzstan analysis

Macao Kyrgyzstan
31 ELO 48
19.8% Tilt 14.9%
28434º General ELO ranking 2883º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
30.7%
Macao
23.2%
Draw
46.2%
Kyrgyzstan

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
Macao
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
46.2%
Win probability
Kyrgyzstan
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Macao
-15%
-4%
Kyrgyzstan

ELO progression

Macao
Kyrgyzstan
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macao
Macao
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2006
PAK
Pakistan
2 - 2
Macao
MAC
67%
18%
15%
32 41 9 0
02 Apr. 2006
TJK
Tajikistan
4 - 0
Macao
MAC
79%
13%
8%
32 54 22 0
29 May. 2005
HKG
Hong Kong
8 - 1
Macao
MAC
81%
12%
7%
33 54 21 -1
30 May. 2004
VCT
S. Vicente y las Granadinas
2 - 0
Macao
MAC
71%
16%
13%
33 47 14 0
08 Jan. 2004
CUB
Cuba
0 - 0
Macao
MAC
81%
14%
5%
33 72 39 0

Matches

Kyrgyzstan
Kyrgyzstan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2006
TJK
Tajikistan
0 - 1
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
65%
19%
15%
46 55 9 0
02 Apr. 2006
KGZ
Kyrgyzstan
0 - 1
Pakistan
PAK
65%
19%
16%
47 41 6 -1
17 Nov. 2004
SYR
Syria
0 - 1
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
87%
10%
4%
46 71 25 +1
10 Nov. 2004
KWT
Kuwait
3 - 0
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
87%
10%
3%
46 81 35 0
13 Oct. 2004
TJK
Tajikistan
2 - 1
Kyrgyzstan
KGZ
69%
18%
13%
47 55 8 -1
X