Luxembourg vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
66.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BGR
4 - 3
LUX
84%
13%
3%
|
42 | 84 | 42 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
LVA
3 - 1
LUX
80%
15%
5%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
LUX
1 - 3
NGA
14%
26%
60%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LUX
0 - 2
ALB
12%
22%
66%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
LUX
0 - 3
BIH
7%
16%
77%
|
43 | 82 | 39 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
SWE
1 - 1
NLD
25%
24%
50%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
SWE
0 - 1
BEL
35%
25%
40%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
52%
25%
23%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
IRL
1 - 1
SWE
41%
26%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SWE
3 - 0
WLS
68%
20%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |