Luxembourg vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 3
LUX
79%
14%
7%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
LUX
2 - 2
FRO
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LUX
0 - 2
TUR
13%
22%
65%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
FRO
0 - 1
LUX
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LTU
0 - 2
LUX
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
LTU
1 - 1
FRO
54%
23%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
TUR
2 - 0
LTU
82%
13%
5%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
FRO
2 - 1
LTU
31%
25%
44%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
LTU
0 - 6
TUR
12%
22%
65%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
LTU
0 - 2
LUX
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |