EC Qualifying Ronda de clasificación. Jor. 4

Luxembourg vs Hungary analysis

Luxembourg Hungary
39 ELO 89
13.3% Tilt 12.4%
1987º General ELO ranking 132º
10º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
11.4%
Luxembourg
18.9%
Draw
69.7%
Hungary

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
Luxembourg
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
69.7%
Win probability
Hungary
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Luxembourg
+30%
+8%
Hungary

ELO progression

Luxembourg
Hungary
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Luxembourg
Luxembourg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Dec. 1982
ENG
England
9 - 0
Luxembourg
LUX
87%
11%
2%
39 92 53 0
10 Nov. 1982
LUX
Luxembourg
1 - 2
Denmark
DNK
13%
22%
65%
39 80 41 0
09 Oct. 1982
LUX
Luxembourg
0 - 2
Greece
GRC
26%
29%
45%
40 72 32 -1
05 Dec. 1981
ITA
Italy
1 - 0
Luxembourg
LUX
86%
11%
3%
39 91 52 +1
21 Nov. 1981
YUG
Yugoslavia
5 - 0
Luxembourg
LUX
89%
8%
3%
40 88 48 -1

Matches

Hungary
Hungary
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 1982
FRA
France
1 - 0
Hungary
HUN
42%
27%
31%
89 87 2 0
22 Sep. 1982
HUN
Hungary
5 - 0
Turkey
TUR
86%
11%
3%
89 69 20 0
22 Jun. 1982
BEL
Belgium
1 - 1
Hungary
HUN
51%
23%
26%
89 86 3 0
18 Jun. 1982
ARG
Argentina
4 - 1
Hungary
HUN
63%
19%
18%
89 91 2 0
15 Jun. 1982
HUN
Hungary
10 - 1
El Salvador
SLV
88%
8%
4%
89 71 18 0
X