Luxembourg vs Belarus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
LUX
3 - 0
SMR
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 19 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
BLR
1 - 0
LUX
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
SMR
0 - 3
LUX
15%
18%
67%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
LUX
4 - 0
MDA
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2018 |
LUX
1 - 0
GEO
12%
18%
70%
|
48 | 72 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Belarus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
BLR
0 - 0
MDA
77%
16%
6%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
BLR
1 - 0
LUX
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
MDA
0 - 0
BLR
16%
23%
62%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
BLR
5 - 0
SMR
85%
12%
3%
|
75 | 23 | 52 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
FIN
2 - 0
BLR
51%
25%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |