Lithuania vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
ESP
4 - 0
LTU
94%
5%
1%
|
56 | 95 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2021 |
LVA
3 - 1
LTU
39%
25%
35%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
LTU
0 - 1
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
LTU
0 - 2
ITA
2%
13%
85%
|
58 | 92 | 34 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 0
LTU
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 89 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 0
NIR
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
MLT
0 - 3
NIR
13%
24%
63%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NIR
0 - 0
BGR
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NIR
1 - 2
USA
10%
21%
70%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 0
NIR
83%
13%
4%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | -1 |