Lithuania vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17.8%
75.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
12%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
SVN
1 - 1
LTU
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
LTU
2 - 1
SMR
80%
16%
5%
|
72 | 31 | 41 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
EST
1 - 0
LTU
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
LTU
1 - 2
SUI
12%
22%
65%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
MLT
2 - 0
LTU
15%
22%
63%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
EST
84%
12%
4%
|
94 | 72 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ENG
2 - 0
SUI
67%
20%
13%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SMR
0 - 6
ENG
9%
17%
74%
|
94 | 31 | 63 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
SVN
2 - 3
ENG
12%
20%
68%
|
93 | 82 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
IRL
0 - 0
ENG
23%
24%
53%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |