Lithuania vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
47.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
LTU
1 - 1
KAZ
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2013 |
MDA
1 - 1
LTU
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
LTU
0 - 1
BIH
28%
27%
46%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 0
LVA
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 0
LIE
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 27 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2014 |
FIN
2 - 2
CZE
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
HUN
1 - 2
FIN
57%
23%
20%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
OMN
0 - 0
FIN
35%
28%
36%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
WLS
1 - 1
FIN
45%
27%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2013 |
MEX
4 - 2
FIN
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |