WC Qual. Europe . Jor. 4

Lithuania vs Albania analysis

Lithuania Albania
73 ELO 65
-5.2% Tilt 0%
3105º General ELO ranking 658º
17º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65.6%
Lithuania
20.7%
Draw
13.7%
Albania

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
Lithuania
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.7%
Win probability
Albania
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Lithuania
-10%
+7%
Albania

ELO progression

Lithuania
Albania
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Mar. 1993
POL
Poland
1 - 1
Lithuania
LTU
88%
9%
3%
72 88 16 0
24 Feb. 1993
ESP
Spain
5 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
93%
6%
1%
72 92 20 0
21 Feb. 1993
FIN
Finland
3 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
51%
22%
27%
73 70 3 -1
20 Feb. 1993
LVA
Latvia
1 - 2
Lithuania
LTU
47%
23%
30%
73 68 5 0
28 Oct. 1992
LTU
Lithuania
1 - 1
Latvia
LVA
61%
20%
19%
72 69 3 +1

Matches

Albania
Albania
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 1993
ALB
Albania
1 - 2
Northern Ireland
NIR
26%
29%
45%
66 84 18 0
11 Nov. 1992
ALB
Albania
1 - 1
Latvia
LVA
42%
25%
33%
66 69 3 0
09 Sep. 1992
NIR
Northern Ireland
3 - 0
Albania
ALB
73%
17%
10%
66 84 18 0
03 Jun. 1992
ALB
Albania
1 - 0
Lithuania
LTU
41%
25%
34%
65 69 4 +1
26 May. 1992
IRL
Ireland
2 - 0
Albania
ALB
75%
18%
7%
66 88 22 -1
X