Latvia vs Lithuania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
17.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Latvia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1931 |
LVA
0 - 1
EST
60%
20%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1930 |
POL
6 - 0
LVA
69%
16%
14%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 1930 |
LTU
3 - 3
LVA
47%
22%
31%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1930 |
LVA
3 - 2
EST
57%
21%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 1930 |
LVA
3 - 0
FIN
64%
18%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lithuania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1931 |
EST
4 - 1
LTU
63%
19%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1930 |
LTU
4 - 0
EST
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 1930 |
LTU
3 - 3
LVA
47%
22%
31%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1930 |
LTU
2 - 1
EST
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 1929 |
LTU
2 - 5
EST
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |