AFCON Qualifying Group G Round 3

Kenya vs Comoros analysis

Kenya Comoros
63 ELO 45
-23.8% Tilt -20.6%
2145º General ELO ranking 3007º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
66.8%
Kenya
20.3%
Draw
12.9%
Comoros

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
Kenya
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
12.9%
Win probability
Comoros
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Kenya
+20%
+44%
Comoros

ELO progression

Kenya
Comoros
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Kenya
Kenya
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Oct. 2020
KEN
Kenya
2 - 1
Zambia
ZAM
20%
26%
54%
62 76 14 0
18 Nov. 2019
KEN
Kenya
1 - 1
Togo
TOG
30%
27%
42%
63 65 2 -1
14 Nov. 2019
EGY
Egypt
1 - 1
Kenya
KEN
81%
15%
5%
62 86 24 +1
13 Oct. 2019
KEN
Kenya
0 - 1
Mozambique
MOZ
40%
27%
33%
63 59 4 -1
08 Sep. 2019
KEN
Kenya
1 - 1
Uganda
UGA
24%
27%
50%
62 71 9 +1

Matches

Comoros
Comoros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2019
COM
Comoros
0 - 0
Egypt
EGY
5%
15%
80%
43 86 43 0
14 Nov. 2019
TOG
Togo
0 - 1
Comoros
COM
73%
17%
10%
42 65 23 +1
10 Sep. 2019
TOG
Togo
2 - 0
Comoros
COM
69%
19%
12%
42 63 21 0
06 Sep. 2019
COM
Comoros
1 - 1
Togo
TOG
9%
16%
75%
41 63 22 +1
04 Aug. 2019
NAM
Namibia
0 - 1
Comoros
COM
72%
18%
10%
40 66 26 +1