Kenya vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
KEN
2 - 1
TGO
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
EGY
5 - 0
KEN
88%
9%
3%
|
59 | 89 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SEN
1 - 0
KEN
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
KEN
0 - 1
SDN
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
ETH
0 - 2
KEN
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2012 |
ZAN
1 - 1
MWI
32%
24%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
TZA
0 - 0
MWI
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TCD
3 - 2
MWI
17%
21%
63%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 0
SDN
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2011 |
KEN
0 - 2
MWI
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |